2024 Mid-Year Outlook

Swiss M&A trends in industrials & services

Global M&A Trends in Industrial Manufacturing and Automotive Sectors hero image
  • Industry
  • 6 minute read
  • August 27, 2024

Strategic M&A to support growth, innovation and resilience – driven by divestments and transformational transactions – is expected to drive deal activity in the second half of 2024.

Michael Huber

Michael Huber

Director, Deals Industrials & Services, PwC Switzerland

In an overall challenging market, companies in the industrials & services (I&S) sectors are calibrating their strategy around portfolio optimisation and the acquisition of technological and green capabilities. Companies are prioritising strategic growth by divesting non-core assets and reallocating resources to more profitable areas. As competition for innovative tech assets increases, dealmakers need to be well prepared. And what about developments in Switzerland?

In the first half of 2024, deal volumes and values in the I&S sectors declined due to challenging macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions. However, we expect M&A activity to recover towards the end of the year, supported by pent-up selling pressure from private equity firms, corporates cleaning up their portfolios, and private companies lacking internal succession. In a subdued economic environment, M&A remains crucial for driving growth and value creation to compensate for low organic growth. Companies are evaluating their portfolios to identify non-core assets for divestiture, aiming to improve capital allocation and reinvest in areas of strategic interest. These reviews often highlight gaps in technology and capabilities, prompting acquisitions in AI, automation, and digital transformation. We also anticipate increased M&A activity driven by industry consolidation, especially among small and medium-sized companies striving to remain relevant amid a sluggish economy and more stringent regulations.

Industrials & services M&A hot spots

There are signs that deal preparation is picking up in industrial manufacturing, aerospace and defence, and engineering and construction, which could be an early indication of an increase in M&A activity towards the end of the year and in 2025. The automotive sector will continue to adapt to the electric future, while business services will undergo further consolidation driven by digitalisation and changing workforce dynamics.

Companies are prioritising investment in cutting-edge technologies, particularly in electric vehicle (EV) battery and charging solutions, the cloud, and automation and robotics, driving M&A activity across all I&S sectors. Supply chain resilience remains an important topic for manufacturing companies, prompting them to reassess global sourcing and consider nearshoring, joint ventures, and partnerships, which may also drive M&A. Sustainability remains a key focus, with firms targeting acquisitions that support ESG goals, decarbonisation, renewable energy, and the electrification and interconnection of industrial equipment to meet stricter regulations and new stakeholder demands.

Notably, artificial intelligence is set to have a major impact on the dealmaking landscape in the industrials sector, as companies look to make acquisitions that enable the integration of AI into the business to offer disruptive solutions, distinguish themselves from the competition, and to open up new revenue streams.

“Speed will be crucial as M&A activity picks up across the industrials and services sectors. Well-prepared dealmakers with a focused list of strategic moves and market-ready divestments will be best positioned for success.”

Michael HuberDirector, Deals Industrials & Services, PwC Switzerland

Global M&A trends in industrials & services

Global automotive M&A in the first half of 2024 faced challenges due to high interest rates, political uncertainty, and reduced consumer demand, especially in the EV sector. Distressed M&A clearly dominated the market, with a number of well-established automotive suppliers seeking fresh capital and a new owner in the course of insolvency proceedings. M&A activity is expected to stabilise in the near term and increase in the medium term, driven by investment in EV battery manufacturing and critical minerals mining. Companies are focusing on digital, software and electrification, driving M&A in connected cars, safety systems, and ride-sharing. 

Divestitures of non-essential assets are continuing, but companies may choose to accelerate or delay M&A efforts due to uncertainty about future policy direction. This uncertainty should ease towards the end of the year, once the policy implications of the UK election results are clear and the outcome of the US election is known. Overall, automotive M&A volumes should remain stable over the next six to 12 months as the sector adapts to an electric future, maintains ICE (internal combustion engine) portfolios in markets with slower EV adoption, and pursues sustainability initiatives.

We expect deal activity in the manufacturing sector to increase, driven mainly by portfolio cleanups, a lack of succession, and pressure on PE funds to return money to investors. The introduction of the global minimum tax rate (Pillar Two) and government incentives such as R&D tax credits will influence M&A decisions.

Technological advances in AI, machine learning, and smart factories continue to spur M&A activity in the industrial manufacturing sector. Companies are preparing to divest underperforming or non-core assets, with smaller companies looking to expand internationally as the likely buyers. These divestitures will also fund further capital deployment for strategic M&A investments. Decarbonisation and sustainability remain key focus areas, with interest in sustainable materials and processes.

We are optimistic about deal activity in the engineering and construction (E&C) sector in the second half of 2024 and into 2025, supported by expected lower interest rates and easing inflation, which will boost residential construction in particular. Despite an initial reluctance to deploy capital in recent months due to macroeconomic and geopolitical factors and increased regulatory scrutiny, companies are focusing on domestic consolidation, strategic divestments, and niche market expansion, including in green energy transition areas. 

The commercial construction sector is facing challenges with stagnating projects, tighter margins, and reduced demand for office space due to the trend towards remote working. At the same time, newer office buildings that meet sustainability criteria are more successful in attracting tenants than older buildings that require renovation. E&C companies are adopting AI and digital technologies to improve productivity and operations and are seeking digital capabilities through acquisitions. Agility and strategic focus are key, as companies with high exposure to infrastructure, including engineering services, intelligent transportation, and power and telecommunications, remain attractive assets.

Deal activity in the first half of 2024 was primarily driven by private equity-backed portfolio companies, with significant activity in professional, legal, and marketing services. Accounting, tax, advisory, and IT services remain popular investment areas, especially in the US and Europe. IT services and outsourcing opportunities are key platforms for M&A consolidation, driven by the need for cloud and related technology investments. 

Changes in the workforce are driving companies to focus on talent, outsourcing, and upskilling, creating both opportunities and challenges. The customer care subsector is being transformed by AI and digital applications, making it a hot area for M&A as companies look to acquire these skills quickly. Despite subdued deal volumes in early 2024, M&A activity is expected to increase in the near to medium term, driven by consolidation, digitalisation, and evolving workforce dynamics.

Industrials and services deal volumes and values, 2019-H1'24

Bar chart showing M&A volumes and values for the industrials and services sectors. Deal volumes and values declined in H1'24 across all sectors and regions as uncertainty continued to weigh on dealmakers.

Sources: LSEG and PwC analysis

Between the first half of 2023 and 2024, deal volumes and values in industrials and services fell by 28% and 25%, respectively. This global decline was influenced by challenging macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions, with regional variations. Deal volumes dropped 31% in EMEA, 30% in the Americas, and 20% in Asia Pacific, where India, South Korea, Australia, and Japan experienced stronger M&A activity. Deal values, however, increased by 11% in the Americas due to several US megadeals (deals worth more than US$5bn), while EMEA and Asia Pacific saw declines of 27% and 50% respectively.

Sector performance also varied. Aerospace and defense (A&D) M&A activity decreased by 36%, automotive by 32%, and business services by 30%. Deal values fell across all sectors except engineering and construction. 

M&A trends in the Swiss industrials & services sector

While early summer offered a silver lining, suggesting that the bottom of the downturn might be in sight, the sharp renewed appreciation of the Swiss franc against both the Euro and the US Dollar, combined with continued weak economic growth in key export markets such as Germany and China, creates a challenging environment for Switzerland’s export-oriented industrial companies. Additionally, uncertainty persists on the political front, with the Bilateral Agreements III — intended to solidify trade relations with the European Union — still under negotiation. The inheritance tax initiative launched by the Young Socialists further complicates matters, threatening the sustainable continuation of family businesses and potentially destabilising a key pillar of the Swiss economy.

Despite challenges and threats on the horizon, Swiss industrial companies have historically proven their ability to weather storms, with M&A being a key tool in their arsenal. One approach involves selling non-core or underperforming assets to free up management resources and reallocate capital to higher-growth areas. We expect this trend to accelerate in the coming months, especially as several larger Swiss companies have already announced in their mid-year reports that they have initiated strategic reviews of certain divisions. On the other hand, we anticipate that strategic buyers with a long-term growth agenda continue to execute their plans, making strategic acquisitions more a matter of 'when' rather than 'if'.

“Faced with the renewed appreciation of the Swiss franc, weak economic growth in key export markets, and various political and geopolitical challenges, Swiss industrial players have consistently demonstrated their ability to weather storms. M&A remains an important tool in their arsenal.”

Michael HuberDirector, Deals Industrials & Services, PwC Switzerland

2024 M&A outlook for I&S in the second half of 2024

As companies strive to remain competitive, business transformation and profitable growth are at the forefront of their strategies. Agility, speed, and preparation will be essential for success. We expect deal activity to pick up as the macroeconomic environment stabilises and the election results – and their policy implications – become clearer in the coming months. Overall, addressing the ongoing challenges will drive strategic M&A, which will support growth, innovation, and resilience across the industrials and services sectors.

M&A industry trends in Switzerland

Learn about the key trends driving M&A activity in Switzerland

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Michael Huber

Director, Deals Industrials & Services, Zürich, PwC Switzerland

+41 58 792 1542

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